Projected Savings for California under CCH-Style Reforms
~$3,000 saved / year
Estimated savings per California family (directional). Based on statewide savings and selected
household size.
$400B → $360B
Illustrative statewide spend if 10% net savings are achieved (OHCA baseline 2023).
3 peopleSavings are computed per person and multiplied by household size.
California's Office of Health Care Affordability (OHCA) reports Total Health Care Expenditures (THCE) of
~$400B in 2023 (up 8.2% from 2022). A conservative 10% net savings from
reduced waste and better pricing yields meaningful relief statewide and at the family level.
Projected Savings Breakdown for California (Illustrative)
Administrative simplification (40%), drug price negotiation (25%), care delivery & coordination (25%),
fraud/abuse controls (10%).
California Spend Before vs. After Reforms (Example)
Uses OHCA's 2023 total (~$400B) and applies a conservative 10% net savings assumption to show
directional impact.
Average Family Saved — California Example
We compute per-capita savings from statewide totals, then multiply by your household size (above). For
employer-sponsored families, replacing worker premiums (and typical OOP) with a payroll contribution often
yields **~$1,500-$3,500** savings per year (illustrative).
Metric (family coverage)
Before
After (Payroll-based financing)
Worker premium contribution
$6,296 / year
$0
Deductibles + copays
Often >$2,000 / year
$0 for covered services
Payroll contribution (illustrative)
$0
$4,800 / year (6% payroll tax on $80,000)
Net change
—
~$1,500-$3,500 saved / year
Replace the payroll figure with the Board's actuarial rate. For statewide context, CA has **~13.43M
households**; a 10% net savings on **$400B** equals **~$40B**, or **~$3,000 per household per year**
(directional).
U.S. Census Bureau — California Population & Households Census QuickFacts: California
Population (39M+) and household estimates used for per-capita scaling.
KFF — 2024 Employer Health Benefits Survey KFF Employer Health Benefits Survey 2024
Family premium ($25,572), worker share ($6,296), and employer share benchmarks.
JAMA — Shrank et al. (2019): Measuring and Improving Health Outcomes JAMA: Waste in the U.S. Health Care System (Shrank et al., 2019)
Identifies waste and achievable savings domains: administration (25%), inappropriate care (37%), pricing power (22%), and fraud (7%).
Commonwealth Fund — International Health Care System Comparisons Commonwealth Fund: Mirror, Mirror 2023
Comparative analysis of U.S., Canada, Germany, and other systems; highlights U.S. administrative complexity costs.
Figures are directional projections and will be updated with California-specific actuarial modeling by the CCH Board.
Current estimates assume 10% net savings from waste reduction, pricing improvements, and care coordination—conservative relative to
comparable systems (Shrank et al., 2019; Berwick & Hackbarth, 2012).